Bank of Canada expects higher inflation forecast as oil prices stay elevated

  • Tiff Macklem said the Bank of Canada expects to raise its quarterly inflation forecast significantly.
  • Markets priced 100 basis points of rate increases over next year, but none for October or December.
  • Bank of Canada forecasts will inform the October 28 interest-rate decision.

Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem said the central bank expects to significantly raise its quarterly inflation forecast because crude oil and petroleum product prices remain high. The updated forecasts will inform the bank’s October 28 interest-rate decision. Macklem said the Middle East conflict, curtailed shipments and refinery damage have increased the risk that inflation becomes broader and more persistent, while Canada’s status as a net energy exporter provides different growth effects from higher oil prices. Markets were not pricing a rate increase for October or December as of Saturday, but expected 100 basis points of increases next year.

The information on this website is generated using AI and we cannot guarantee its accuracy. Please use it as reference information only.