The US dollar is expected to weaken over the coming months, although 17 of 30 strategists answering an additional Reuters poll question said it was more likely to exceed than miss their three-month forecasts. The October 30-November 3 survey of 66 FX strategists, conducted before Tuesday's midterm elections that will determine whether President Donald Trump's Republican Party retains control of Congress, showed little change from early October. The median forecast put the euro at $1.13 in three months, $1.14 in six months and $1.16 in a year, up about 4% from roughly $1.12. Strategists cited strong US growth, inflation above the Federal Reserve's 2% target for nearly six years and geopolitical risks as reasons the dollar could remain resilient. The Federal Reserve paused rate increases after a September hike, while rate futures priced in about two further increases beginning next month. The dollar has stayed firm even as concerns about the artificial-intelligence investment boom pressured stocks and investors bought US Treasuries; the 10-year yield has fallen nearly 45 basis points since October 7 to below 5%. A strong Democratic showing was viewed as largely reflected in markets, while a surprise Republican sweep could lift equities, rates and the dollar. The future of the US-Israeli war with Iran, oil above $105 a barrel and dollar positioning were identified as key factors for investors to monitor.