FOMC Two Weeks Away — 83% of Polymarket Traders Expect 25 bps Cut
Polymarket predicts a 91% probability of a 25 basis point interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September 2025, reflecting growing market confidence in a dovish Fed stance amid economic slowdown concerns.
Summary
Polymarket data suggests a 91% chance of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September 2025, with only a 7% likelihood of a larger cut. The prediction market has seen over $134.29 million in trading volume, signaling rising expectations of an economic slowdown and a dovish Federal Reserve approach.
Terms & Concepts
- Polymarket: A prediction market platform where users bet on the outcome of various events, including economic forecasts like interest rate changes.
- bps (basis points): A unit equal to 0.01%, commonly used to describe changes in interest rates.