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Kalshi Data Puts Donald Trump 2025–2029 Impeachment Odds at 57%—New High

Kalshi's platform shows a record-high 57% probability for Donald Trump's impeachment during his 2025–2029 term, following his remarks about potential renewed efforts after a Democratic 2026 midterm win.

Summary

Kalshi data indicates that the probability of Donald Trump's impeachment during his 2025–2029 presidency has surged to 57%, marking a record high. This follows his statement that a Democratic victory in the 2026 midterms could lead to renewed impeachment efforts.

Terms & Concepts
  • Impeachment: A formal charge process by a legislature that can lead to removal from office.
  • Midterm elections: United States congressional elections held halfway through a president’s four-year term.
  • Prediction probability: A market-implied likelihood, expressed as a percentage, based on platform data.