Traders on Kalshi See 60% Chance Ali Khamenei Will Leave Supreme Leader Role Before September 2026

Market participants on Kalshi forecast a high likelihood that Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei may step down or be replaced within the next two years.

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Terms & Concepts
  • Kalshi: A regulated prediction market platform in the United States where traders buy and sell contracts based on event outcomes.
  • Supreme Leader of Iran: The highest-ranking political and religious authority in Iran, overseeing key state functions and policy direction.