Saudi Aramco states that Strait of Hormuz disruption has already led to a roughly 1 billion-barrel supply shortfall, with market normalization delayed and global oil balances potentially not recovering until 2027.
Saudi Aramco Chief Executive Officer Amin Nasser said disruption tied to the Strait of Hormuz could remove about 100 million barrels of oil supply per week and has already contributed to a cumulative global supply shortfall of about 1 billion barrels over the past two months. He said energy markets would require time to normalize even if flows recover, and warned that if reopening of the route is delayed for weeks, recovery in the global oil supply-demand balance could slip to 2027. Saudi Aramco also highlighted the East-West pipeline as a key domestic supply artery supporting continuity during transport disruption.