The prediction market listing indicates traders currently assign a 67% probability to a U.S.–Iran peace agreement being reached by the end of 2026.
A Polymarket (crypto-based prediction market) listing shows the market now assigns 67% odds to a U.S.–Iran peace deal being reached by the end of 2026. The input provides only the latest probability figure and does not include contract volume, timing of the move, or details on what event terms define a successful resolution. Prediction markets reflect trader positioning rather than confirmed political outcomes.