After the Knicks beat the Spurs 105-95 on the road in Game 1, predict.fun’s 2026 NBA Champion market swung sharply toward New York and event volume topped $627 million.
A Polymarket smart-money wallet identified as 0x9f2fe025f84839ca81dd8e0338892605702d2ca8 had bought $200,000 worth of shares backing the San Antonio Spurs to beat the New York Knicks in Game 1 of the NBA Finals at an average opening price of 63 cents, in a trade previously reported as showing a floating profit of $1,700. The latest update adds the postgame market reaction on predict.fun’s “2026 NBA Champion” market, where the Spurs’ title probability briefly fell to 47%, down 18% in 24 hours, while the Knicks rose to 56% after New York’s 105-95 road win over San Antonio in NBA Finals Game 1 to take a 1-0 lead. Total trading volume in the event exceeded $627 million. The new information follows an earlier revision that had overturned a prior report of Knicks-side positioning and instead described a Spurs-backed trade by a wallet said to have earned more than $4 million in profits. Prediction-market prices are commonly read as implied odds, so the postgame move reflects a sharp reassessment of championship expectations following the opener.