After the Spurs’ 115-111 Game 3 win cut the Knicks’ series lead to 2-1, Polymarket’s NBA Finals MVP market swung toward Victor Wembanyama while broader championship betting remained active.
Prediction market activity around the Knicks-Spurs NBA Finals intensified after Game 3. Earlier, Odaily Seer reported that a Polymarket trader described as a “smart money” address, with more than $4.3 million in gains, placed an $820,000 wager on the Knicks at an average entry price of 53.4 cents; the position was at one point showing a floating profit of $670 when the Knicks led the series 2-0. After the Spurs’ 115-111 road win in Game 3, predict.fun’s “2026 NBA Champion” market briefly moved the Spurs up to 39%, a 17% gain over 24 hours, while the Knicks slipped to 61% despite still leading the Finals 2-1. Trading volume on that contract exceeded $628 million. Polymarket’s NBA Finals MVP market also repriced: Victor Wembanyama’s implied probability rose 17 percentage points over 24 hours to 38%, moving him ahead of Karl-Anthony Towns into second place, while Jalen Brunson remained first at 48% and Towns fell to 12%. Forbes reporter Mark Medina said average home ticket prices were around $7,768 for Game 3 and $7,257 for Game 4 as the Knicks returned to the NBA Finals after 27 years.