Conflux co-founder says some crypto projects now trade below treasury value

The market inversion described on X points to near-failed tokens with fully diluted valuations below holdings built from early fundraising or token generation events.

BTC
CFX

Summary

Some near-failed crypto projects are now trading at fully diluted valuations below the value of assets held in their treasuries, Conflux co-founder @forgivenever said on X. He described the setup as a market inversion in which sharply lower FDVs (fully diluted valuations, total token value if all supply existed) no longer reflect treasury balances that often include U.S. dollars, stablecoins, Bitcoin and Ether. He said those reserves were largely accumulated during early fundraising rounds at high valuations or at TGE (token generation event, initial token issuance). The dynamic matters because it suggests public token valuations in some cases have fallen beneath the balance-sheet value of project-held assets, a distortion that can emerge when sentiment collapses and token liquidity dries up.

Terms & Concepts
  • FDVs: Fully diluted valuations, assuming all tokens are in circulation.
  • stablecoins: Crypto tokens designed to maintain a fixed value.
  • TGE: Token generation event, when a project first issues tokens.