The chamber is in recess until July 13, while the estimated probability of the bill becoming law in 2026 has fallen to 50% from 60%.
The Clarity bill faces a key two-week stretch as the U.S. Senate remains in recess until July 13, a pause that could shape the timing and prospects of a vote. The reported odds of the measure becoming law in 2026 have slipped to 50% from 60%, signaling weaker confidence around its path forward. The development highlights how congressional scheduling can influence crypto market structure legislation, especially when floor time and political momentum are limited.