
The prediction market also shows a 32% chance of Bitcoin climbing to $80,000 and a 19% chance of reaching $90,000, with the $70,000 target up from 54% on June 26.
Polymarket, a prediction market platform, now shows a 65% probability that Bitcoin will reach $70,000 this year, up from 54% on June 26. The same market assigns a 32% chance to Bitcoin rising to $80,000 and a 19% chance to reaching $90,000. Such contracts reflect trader positioning on future outcomes rather than spot prices, offering a market-based gauge of sentiment around Bitcoin's upside targets.