The prediction market shows reduced expectations that the Clarity Act will be signed into law in 2026, offering a real-time gauge of sentiment around U.S. crypto legislation.
Polymarket, a crypto-based prediction market, shows the implied probability of the Clarity Act being signed into law in 2026 at 46%. The move indicates softer market expectations for the bill’s legislative path, as prediction markets are often used by traders to express views on political and regulatory outcomes in real time.