
Saudi Arabia has raised crude exports via the Red Sea after the Strait of Hormuz closure, but renewed Houthi threats to Bab el-Mandeb are exposing the limits of alternative routes.
Middle East oil producers are pursuing or considering seven pipeline projects to reduce reliance on the Strait of Hormuz as the U.S.-Iran war disrupts Gulf crude flows, but rising threats to the Red Sea are reinforcing warnings that alternative routes remain exposed. Saudi Arabia has increased crude shipments through its East-West Pipeline to the Red Sea port of Yanbu, maintaining exports of about 4.6 million barrels a day after the Strait of Hormuz was closed, versus a prewar level of 7.3 million barrels a day. The latest risk is a renewed confrontation between Saudi Arabia and Yemen’s Houthis near the Bab el-Mandeb Strait after both sides exchanged strikes, raising the prospect of attacks on vessels, ports and oil facilities. Analysts and officials say simultaneous disruption at Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb would threaten the Middle East’s two main oil arteries, while Capital Economics warned prolonged shipping disruption through both straits could push the global economy into recession.