
Spain’s semifinal win over France eased major sportsbooks’ biggest remaining liability, while prediction markets favored Spain over Argentina and final ticket listings surged across resale platforms.
Spain beat France 2-0 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup semifinal on July 14 in Dallas to reach the July 19 final against Argentina at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey, a result that benefited major sportsbooks because France had been their biggest remaining outright exposure. DraftKings and BetMGM said France was their largest remaining outright liability, while FanDuel said France had attracted the most money among teams still alive before kickoff. Ahead of the final, Polymarket and Kalshi both priced Spain as the favorite and Lionel Messi as the leading Golden Boot and Golden Ball candidate, while ticket listings across resale platforms remained elevated, with Ticombo reporting an average final listing price of $5,480.47 and broader resale listings ranging from about $6,411 on FIFA’s official resale site to nearly $60,000 for hospitality seats.