Conor McGregor added a separate $100,000 exact-score wager on a 3-2 Argentina win, while Kalshi and Polymarket pricing continued to favor Spain before Sunday’s World Cup final.
Drake has placed a $1.5 million wager in USDT on Argentina to beat Spain in regulation time at Sunday’s World Cup final, a bet that would return $5,175,000 if it wins. Ahead of the 3 p.m. EDT kickoff, Conor McGregor disclosed a separate $100,000 exact-score wager through 1xBet on Argentina winning 3-2 in regulation, a long-shot bet that could return about $3.6 million at odds near 36.00. The two celebrity bets carry very different conditions. Drake’s wager requires Argentina to win within 90 minutes, while McGregor’s ticket only pays if Argentina leads 3-2 after regulation and stoppage time; an Argentina win by any other score, or after extra time or penalties, would still lose. McGregor said the bet was inspired by a July 11, 2021 social media post predicting that Argentina would beat Spain 3-2 in the 2026 World Cup final, a dormant call that resurfaced once both teams reached Sunday’s match. Prediction markets still pointed to Spain as the favorite. Kalshi gave Spain a 58.2% probability of winning the World Cup versus 42% for Argentina, with more than $1.4 billion in trading volume on the market. Its regulation-time contracts put Spain at 43%, a draw at 32% and Argentina at 27%, while the market for more than 2.5 goals stood at 42%, suggesting traders expected a tighter contest than McGregor’s five-goal projection. Polymarket showed a similar picture shortly before kickoff, with Spain near 59% to win the title and Argentina near 41%, and regulation pricing of roughly 42.75% for Spain, 31.75% for a draw and 26.75% for Argentina. Together, the publicly disclosed wagers put $1.6 million of celebrity money behind Argentina and drew additional attention to crypto betting platforms, prediction markets and exact-score contracts around the final.