
Japan is laying the regulatory groundwork for a potential spot Bitcoin ETF by 2028, while tougher rules for unregistered operators and growing corporate crypto demand reshape the market.
Japan’s Financial Services Agency is moving toward reforms that could enable the country’s first spot Bitcoin ETF as early as 2028 after lawmakers approved amendments that bring crypto assets under the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act framework. The planned rule changes would allow investment trusts and ETFs to hold crypto directly, marking a broader shift away from regulating digital assets mainly as a payment instrument. The legal change does not clear the way for an immediate launch. Japan still needs further revisions to permit funds offering direct exposure to crypto assets, and no such investment vehicle has been approved. Estimates cited in reporting suggest Japanese Bitcoin ETFs could attract as much as ¥3 trillion by fiscal 2028, while major financial groups including SBI Holdings and Nomura are said to be developing crypto investment products. The broader legislative package also tightens oversight of the sector. The maximum prison term for unregistered crypto operators has increased from three years to 10 years, the highest fine has risen from 3 million yen to 10 million yen, and the rules expand disclosure requirements and insider-trading restrictions. The push comes as corporate interest in digital assets rises in Japan, with SBI VC Trade saying more companies are adding Bitcoin and XRP to treasury holdings and using crypto in shareholder benefit programs as the weakening yen drives reserve diversification.