
The CLARITY Act now appears unlikely to pass before the August recess, with ethics disputes tied to President Donald Trump and his family’s crypto involvement and a crowded Senate agenda clouding its path.
The Senate is increasingly unlikely to approve the CLARITY Act before the August recess after Senate Majority Leader John Thune said he does not expect the crypto market-structure bill to pass in that window, extending a setback for an industry effort that had gained momentum after months of negotiations. The bill passed the House in July 2025 and cleared the Senate Banking Committee in May 2026, but its path has been constrained by a crowded floor schedule and unresolved policy disputes. Ethics disagreements tied to President Donald Trump and his family’s crypto involvement have added fresh obstacles, complicating efforts to assemble support for the measure. Industry expectations have also weakened sharply. Polymarket odds for the bill passing this year stood around 37% by Friday, down from above 80% in the spring. Supporters say there is still bipartisan backing for the bill’s core framework, which would set rules for digital asset exchanges, intermediaries, issuers and federal oversight, but the measure now risks being squeezed by competing priorities before the current Congress ends its term in early January.