
Shipping disruptions tied to Iran, the Houthis, Russia-linked vessels and CPC export outages briefly pushed Brent above $100, reigniting inflation concerns as gasoline hit a $4 U.S. national average.
Oil shipping and exports are under pressure across the Strait of Hormuz, the Red Sea and the Black Sea, helping push Brent crude above $100 per barrel for the first time in two months before it settled at $98.38 on Friday, up nearly 12% for the week. Iran has intensified attacks on tankers near Hormuz, the Houthis said they attacked two Saudi tankers in the Red Sea after declaring a maritime embargo against Riyadh, and Ukraine says it has struck more than 150 vessels linked to Russia's shadow fleet, while Kazakhstan output has also been affected by disruption at a Caspian Pipeline Consortium export terminal. Analysts said the rally reflects near-zero visible shipping through Hormuz, depleted inventories and constrained Russian fuel exports, reviving inflation concerns and expectations that major central banks could respond if oil stays near $100. In the United States, the national average gasoline price reached exactly $4 on Monday from around $3 before the conflict, while a Politico poll found many Americans overstated local pump-price increases and 46% said gas-price changes were affecting their vote choices.