
Joblessness climbed above forecasts as inflation accelerated and higher energy costs added pressure to an economy facing renewed geopolitical risks.
Germany’s seasonally adjusted unemployment rate rose to 6.4% in July 2026 from 6.3% in June, coming in above market expectations of 6.3%. The number of unemployed increased by 6,000 to 2.99 million, slightly more than expected and leaving the total just below the politically significant 3 million mark. On a non-seasonally adjusted basis, unemployment moved above 3 million. The labor market has continued to weaken with a lag after the geopolitical shock from the Iran war, which began in February. Pressure on the economy also intensified as inflation accelerated to 2.8% in July, with higher energy prices feeding through more broadly. Although Germany’s second-quarter GDP growth exceeded expectations, the outlook remains uncertain. Renewed US-Iran hostilities could keep energy prices elevated, strengthen expectations of tighter European Central Bank policy, and weigh on both investment and consumer spending.