Tokyo core CPI rises 1.9% in July 2026, topping 1.7% forecast

Price growth in Tokyo’s 23 wards accelerated for a second month as energy price declines narrowed and household goods rose, while the Bank of Japan kept rates unchanged at its July 29-30 meeting.

Summary

Core consumer prices in Tokyo’s 23 wards rose 1.9% year on year in July 2026, accelerating from 1.6% in June and exceeding market expectations of 1.7%. The increase marked a second straight month of faster growth but remained below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target for a sixth consecutive month. The pickup was driven largely by a narrower decline in energy costs and broader price pass-through in household goods. Headline CPI rose 2.0% from 1.7%, while core-core CPI excluding fresh food and energy increased 2.0% from 1.9%, indicating underlying inflation remained around the BOJ’s target level after the central bank left rates unchanged.

Terms & Concepts
  • core CPI: A consumer inflation measure that excludes fresh food prices to show underlying price trends more clearly.
  • core-core CPI: An inflation gauge that excludes both fresh food and energy to track broader price pressures.
  • price pass-through: The process by which higher input or raw material costs are reflected in consumer prices.