Polymarket, Polymarket US and Kalshi monthly volume hits $50.6 billion in July

Polymarket, Polymarket US and Kalshi monthly volume hits $50.6 billion in July

World Cup trading lifted combined July volume 7.8% from a revised June total, with Kalshi leading activity as open interest fell after the tournament ended.

Fact Check
The claim's exact figures appear in The Block's own X post (@TheBlockCo), the cited data originator, and are independently reproduced by three secondary outlets (PANews, Odaily, CoinNess), all attributing the data to The Block. PANews explicitly links back to the original TheBlockCo post, closing the citation chain. The figures are internally consistent and fit the documented month-over-month growth trend in prediction-market volumes.
Summary

Polymarket, Polymarket US and Kalshi posted a combined monthly trading volume of $50.59 billion in July, a record in data published on Aug. 3, as FIFA World Cup betting activity drove heavy use of prediction markets. The total was up 7.8% from a revised June figure of $46.95 billion. Kalshi accounted for the largest share at $37.7 billion, or about 74.5% of the combined total, while Polymarket’s international platform fell 26% to $7.9 billion and Polymarket US rose 54% to $5 billion. Even with that gain, combined volume for Polymarket and Polymarket US slipped to $12.9 billion from about $14 billion in June. The figures reflect taker notional volume rather than exchange revenue or customer deposits, meaning they show contract turnover and liquidity rather than fresh capital entering the platforms. Trading cooled after the tournament, with open interest across the three venues dropping to about $1.2 billion at the end of July from roughly $2 billion near the start of the month. The record came as more than a dozen state regulators accused Kalshi and Polymarket of running unlicensed gambling operations and moved to block event contracts, while the platforms and the CFTC argued that federal oversight takes precedence over state rules.

Terms & Concepts
  • Prediction markets: Platforms where users trade contracts tied to future event outcomes, with prices often interpreted as market-implied probabilities.
  • Open interest: The total value of outstanding contracts that remain open and have not yet been closed or settled.
  • Notional volume: A measure of the face value of contracts traded, which indicates turnover but does not equal exchange revenue or customer deposits.