Catcher Predict said the Mets option in the New York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians spread market rose from 16.5% to 33.45%, a move it said may reflect related breaking news.
Winning probability for the New York Mets in Polymarket's "Spread -1.5" sub-market for "New York Mets vs Cleveland Guardians" climbed sharply over the past hour, with Catcher Predict tracking a rise to 33.45% from 16.5%, a 16.95 percentage-point move. Prediction markets (venues where traders price event probabilities) can reprice quickly as fresh information reaches the market, and the monitoring note said related breaking news should be considered as a potential driver of the swing.