According to CME FedWatch, investors assign a 90.5% probability to a 25 basis points cut in September, with October showing nearly even odds between a 25 bps and 50 bps cumulative reduction.
CME FedWatch indicates a 90.5% probability of a 25 basis points rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September, with a 9.5% chance of no change. For October, probabilities are 4.3% for no change, 46.3% for a cumulative 25 bps cut, and 49.3% for a cumulative 50 bps cut. These figures reflect futures market expectations of upcoming monetary policy decisions.