
Rising jobless claims and stronger-than-expected CPI data influence market forecasts for Federal Reserve rate cuts, with slight increase in probability of a 50 basis point cut in September.
US initial jobless claims have surged to 237,000, the highest level in nearly four years, boosting expectations that the Federal Reserve will implement multiple rate cuts starting in September. However, the stronger-than-expected CPI data for August has led to a slight rise in the probability of a 50-basis-point cut in September, increasing from 8% to 10.9%.