
According to the Fed’s latest statement, officials signaled a new easing cycle with expectations of up to 75 bps in cuts through 2025, amid weakening labor demand.
The Federal Reserve officially announced a 25-basis-point reduction in the federal funds rate, setting the new target range at 4.00%-4.25% after holding steady for five meetings. The decision marks the first rate cut since December and signals the potential start of a broader easing cycle. Dot-plot projections show most policymakers foresee 1–3 additional cuts this year, with a plurality expecting a total of 75 bps. Newly appointed Governor Stephen Miran dissented, advocating for a larger 50-basis-point cut and projecting as much as 150 bps of easing by year-end. Chair Jerome Powell highlighted risks from tariff-driven inflation but stressed that policy decisions will remain data-dependent and assessed meeting by meeting. Market reactions were mixed, and Bitcoin prices showed little immediate movement.