Polymarket bettors assign a 72% chance to the U.S. government reopening on or after Oct. 15, with some market observers linking the shutdown to Bitcoin’s recent rally above $125,000.
Polymarket bettors forecast a 72% chance that the U.S. government will reopen on or after Oct. 15, with significant volume on this outcome. The shutdown has been linked to Bitcoin's recent surge, hitting new highs above $125,000. Combined spot and derivatives trading on centralized exchanges surged 7.58% in August, with Gate exchange emerging as a key player. Analysts predict the shutdown could last up to a month but will not surpass the record set during the Trump administration.