Trump’s Nobel Peace Prize Odds Fall to 3% as Machado’s Rise to 69%

Prediction market Polymarket shows a drastic shift in Nobel Peace Prize odds, with María Corina Machado gaining strong support while Donald Trump’s chances plummet.

187d ago

Summary

Polymarket data reveals a dramatic change in the probabilities for the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize, with Donald Trump’s chances dropping to 3%, while María Corina Machado’s odds surge to 69%. This shift reflects a shift in market sentiment, showing Machado as the favored candidate among participants.

Terms & Concepts

Polymarket: A decentralized prediction market platform where users trade on the outcomes of real-world events using cryptocurrency.
Prediction Market: A marketplace where participants buy and sell shares tied to the outcome of events, with prices reflecting perceived probabilities.