The assessment is based on strong, consistent evidence from multiple relevant sources. Two independent, crypto-focused news outlets, Crypto Briefing and Coinpedia, directly report on the event. Both sources state that a SpaceX-linked wallet transferred Bitcoin worth approximately $268 million. The Crypto Briefing article explicitly corroborates the detail that this was the first on-chain activity in three months. While there is a minor discrepancy in the exact number of Bitcoins reported (2,495 vs. 2,395), the core facts of the transfer—the entity (SpaceX), the value (~$268 million), and the timing—are consistent across these sources. The official SpaceX websites do not contain this information, but their silence is expected as large corporations typically do not publicize specific financial transactions or cryptocurrency movements on their main public-facing websites. The absence of information from these official but irrelevant sources does not contradict the claim. The strong agreement between the two specialized, relevant sources makes the statement highly probable.