The assessment is based on a strong convergence of evidence from multiple, authoritative sources in the cryptocurrency space. There is no direct, official announcement from Polymarket in the provided materials, but the indirect evidence is compelling. A top-tier news outlet, The Block, reports directly that Polymarket is "teasing a token launch" and a "potential airdrop." This is the strongest piece of evidence, suggesting communication or hints originating from the company itself. This is corroborated by other credible sources like CryptoSlate, which points to a potential SEC filing hinting at "token rights," and CoinMarketCap, which reports on the community's active preparation for an anticipated airdrop. Furthermore, a data platform like DappRadar has published a guide for the airdrop, which indicates a high level of market certainty.While the specific token name "POLY" is not explicitly confirmed in the provided summaries, the core claims—a token launch and an associated airdrop—are consistently and strongly supported across the most relevant and authoritative sources. The sources with low relevance do not contradict the claim; they are simply off-topic. The lack of a direct official announcement prevents a probability of 1.0, but the weight and consistency of the reporting make the statement very likely to be true.