U.S. Government Shutdown Reaches Historic 35 Days
Polymarket’s latest data indicates a 44% chance the shutdown will persist beyond Nov. 16, marking an unprecedented duration in U.S. history amid stalled legislative progress.
Summary
On November 6, 2025, the U.S. government shutdown reached its 37th day, surpassing the previous 35-day record. Polymarket data shows a 44% probability the shutdown will extend past Nov. 16, with resolution odds for Nov. 4–7 at 3%, Nov. 8–11 at 22%, and Nov. 12–15 at 30%. The funding impasse continues to delay federal operations and legislative priorities, including crypto market structure bills.
Terms & Concepts
- Crypto market structure legislation: Proposed laws intended to establish a regulatory framework for cryptocurrency markets, including trading, custody, and transparency requirements.