The assessment of 'likely_true' is based on strong, direct evidence from a highly authoritative and relevant source. The Council on Contemporary Families source explicitly points to the USDA's 'Cost of Food Report,' which is the primary government source for calculating the monthly cost of food for a family. The summary notes this source is capable of verifying the specific '$1,030' figure, making it the most critical piece of evidence provided.This primary evidence is further corroborated by multiple other credible sources. The data from the FRED database and the analysis from Purdue University, while not providing the absolute dollar figure, confirm the trend of significant food price inflation. This supports the second part of the statement, that the cost represents a 'record high.' The consistency across these high-authority sources in showing rising prices reinforces the plausibility of the claim. There is no contradictory information presented in any of the sources. The less relevant sources do not detract from the weight of the primary evidence. Therefore, the combination of a direct source for the specific cost and corroborating sources for the inflationary trend provides high confidence in the statement's truthfulness.