The assessment is based on direct, high-authority evidence that overwhelmingly supports the statement. The primary source from CryptoQuant, 'Bitcoin: Exchange Reserve - All Exchanges', is the most critical piece of evidence. With the highest possible relevance and near-perfect authority, it provides a direct chart of the exact metric in question: the total Bitcoin supply held on exchanges. The summary indicates this chart is the definitive source for verifying the claim. This primary evidence is corroborated by another high-authority source from the same firm, 'Bitcoin: Exchange Netflow'. A consistent negative netflow, as described in its summary, is the direct cause of a decreasing supply on exchanges, providing a logical basis for the reserves reaching a low point. Further, a news article from CryptoSlate, a reputable crypto publication, explicitly validates the methodology used by firms like CryptoQuant to track these balances, reinforcing the credibility of the primary data. A social media post, while having low authority on its own, is highly relevant as it directly makes the same claim and attributes the data to CryptoQuant, indicating a public consensus and interpretation of the primary data. There is no conflicting evidence among the relevant sources. Several provided sources were correctly identified as irrelevant because they discussed other assets (Ethereum, XRP), different metrics (market cap), or unrelated markets (Hong Kong Stock Exchange, Qualcomm stock), and were therefore disregarded. The convergence of high-quality primary data and supporting secondary analysis, with no contrary evidence, leads to a high confidence assessment that the statement is likely true.