Kalshi data shows near certainty of a 25 basis point cut, but analysts warn the U.S. Federal Reserve’s longer-term outlook could shift to neutral or hawkish.
Summary
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Terms & Concepts
Basis Point (bps): A unit of measure equal to one hundredth of a percentage point, commonly used in interest rate discussions.
Kalshi: A U.S.-regulated prediction market platform where participants trade contracts tied to real-world events.
Hawkish Guidance: A monetary policy stance indicating preference for higher interest rates to curb inflation.