Bitcoin Swings Between Gains and Losses After Softer U.S. CPI Report

Bitcoin briefly surged above $89,000 before reversing sharply, as traders weighed softer U.S. CPI data against skepticism over inflation metrics and Fed rate cut odds.

BTC
ETH

Summary

Bitcoin’s price exhibited sharp volatility on Thursday, climbing to $89,300 after a cooler-than-expected November U.S. CPI reading of 2.7%, down from 3%, raised hopes for looser Federal Reserve policy. Gains reversed within hours, with BTC dropping to $85,500 before stabilizing near $86,000, down 0.8% over 24 hours. Skeptics questioned the data due to a zero rent input in October CPI calculations, leaving January rate cut odds unchanged at 24%. Equity markets held stronger gains, with Nasdaq up 1.7%. Options market data indicated BTC traders see support around $85,000 and capped upside near $100,000, while ETH traders showed more hedging behavior. Bitcoin’s realized capitalization hit a record $1.125 trillion despite a 36% price correction.

Terms & Concepts
  • U.S. CPI (Consumer Price Index): A key economic indicator measuring inflation changes in the prices of goods and services in the United States.
  • Realized Capitalization: A blockchain metric valuing an asset based on the price each unit last moved on-chain, often used to gauge market valuation trends.
  • Options Market: A financial market where derivatives contracts give buyers the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an asset at a predetermined price.