China’s GDP Expands 5% in 2025 Amid Ongoing Trade War With US

The assessment is based on a convergence of evidence from multiple high-authority sources pointing to a 5% growth figure for China's GDP in 2025. Firstly, a Reuters article and a South China Morning Post topic page both establish that China's official economic growth target for the year was set at "roughly 5%." This provides a strong initial anchor for the claim. More significantly, a bulletin from the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission, a highly credible U.S. government body, discusses China's 2025 GDP in a January 2026 publication, citing the official "China National Bureau of Statistics" (NBS) as its source. The timing of this bulletin, immediately following the end of the calendar year, strongly suggests it is reporting on the final, official growth figures. Another source, the Global Times, corroborates this timeline by reporting on the imminent release of the 2025 data from the NBS in early 2026. While one source from an industry analysis firm mentions a conflicting figure of "8.02%", its credibility is substantially undermined by a low relevance score and the explicit note that the country in question is not confirmed in the snippet. Given the strong, consistent evidence from authoritative journalistic and governmental sources that align on the 5% figure—first as a target and then as a reported outcome from the official statistical agency—the statement is highly likely to be true.