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US Spending Bill Fails Senate Vote as Shutdown Odds Surge

Market data from Polymarket and Kalshi show over 75% probability of a government shutdown following the failed Senate vote on the spending bill.

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Terms & Concepts
  • Polymarket: A decentralized prediction platform where users trade on the outcomes of real-world events using cryptocurrency.
  • Kalshi: A regulated events-based futures exchange in the United States where traders speculate on specific outcomes like economic or political events.