
Waller urges aligning rates toward a 3% neutral level amid stable growth but weak labor markets, warning of possible job losses in 2026.
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller stated current rates at 3.50%-3.75% should move closer to the 3% neutral level. He noted stable economic growth but weak labor market conditions, predicting near-zero employment growth in 2025 and possible layoffs in 2026. Inflation, excluding the effects of tariffs, is near the Fed’s 2% target. Waller continues to call for a 25-basis-point rate cut in opposition to the latest FOMC decision, arguing further easing is necessary to mitigate risks to employment and economic stability.