The assessment is 'likely_true' with high confidence due to overwhelming and consistent evidence from primary, high-authority sources. The core of the claim is directly and explicitly confirmed by Counterpoint Research itself. Three primary sources—an article on Counterpoint's official website and two separate posts on their official LinkedIn page—all state that memory prices are forecast to increase by 80%-90% in Q1 2026. This data perfectly aligns with the statement's key elements: the source (Counterpoint), the magnitude ('up to 90%'), and the timeframe ('early 2026', which corresponds to Q1 2026).Furthermore, multiple secondary sources corroborate this finding. A financial news aggregator on X and a discussion on Slashdot both correctly attribute the 'up to 90%' price surge forecast for early 2026 to Counterpoint, indicating the information has been disseminated accurately. There are no direct contradictions in the provided evidence. Sources that mention different figures either refer to a different market research firm (TrendForce, not Counterpoint) or a different metric (the percentage increase in overall smartphone prices, not memory component prices). These do not invalidate the claim about what Counterpoint has stated. The cumulative evidence from the highest authority sources directly supports the statement.