Blockchain-based prediction market Polymarket sees high odds of another U.S. government shutdown despite a recent funding deal signed by Donald Trump.
Data from Polymarket, a decentralized prediction platform, indicates a 71% probability of a U.S. government shutdown by February 14, with trading volume surpassing $1 million. This follows Donald Trump’s signing of a funding bill on February 3, which ended a partial shutdown and extended most agencies' funding until September 30, while the Department of Homeland Security’s funding was only extended until mid-February. The market signals strong expectations among participants for renewed budget deadlock.