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Polymarket (decentralized prediction market) sees 89% odds of Walmart beating quarterly earnings

According to Polymarket (decentralized prediction market), traders price an 89% probability that Walmart will outperform expectations in its next quarterly earnings report, reflecting aggregated crowd sentiment rather than an official Wall Street forecast.

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Terms & Concepts
  • Prediction market: A platform where users trade outcome-linked shares to express probabilities on future events; prices reflect crowd expectations.
  • Implied probability: The likelihood of an event inferred from market prices, commonly used in prediction and betting markets to quantify expected outcomes.
  • Smart contract (self-executing blockchain code): Programmed logic on a blockchain that automatically enforces rules and settlements for markets without intermediaries.