CFTC Asserts Exclusive Authority Over Futures and Prediction Markets

Multiple authoritative primary sources from the official U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission explicitly state that the agency asserts 'exclusive jurisdiction' over futures and prediction markets under the Commodity Exchange Act. The evidence includes formal legal filings such as an amicus brief to a U.S. Court of Appeals, direct press releases, op-eds by the CFTC Chairman, and official policy statements on the CFTC website. These consistently articulate the agency's position that it alone regulates these markets, and they address instances of state-level attempts to regulate prediction markets as challenges to its exclusive authority. The statements are clear and repeated across different official contexts—court filings, public communications, and enforcement justifications—indicating this is the CFTC's firmly held stance. There is no primary source evidence in the material provided that contradicts this claim, nor is there evidence suggesting the CFTC acknowledges shared jurisdiction. Consequently, the probability that the statement is true is very high.