Market data from Polymarket shows rising odds of a US strike on Iran, as military readiness intensifies with advanced assets and operational planning.
Polymarket prediction data now indicates a 63% probability of the United States striking Iran by March 31, with trading volume surpassing $12 million. Reports suggest the US military is preparing for operations that could last weeks if President Trump orders an attack. This follows the deployment of F-35C fighters and a range of aircraft, drones, and naval vessels across the Middle East, highlighting heightened military readiness and potential escalation. Probabilities for earlier strike dates have also risen, reflecting market and strategic concerns.