
Polymarket’s daily trading volume hit a record $478 million during the U.S.–Israel strike on Iran, underscoring heightened geopolitical-driven activity in decentralized prediction markets.
On the day of the joint U.S.–Israel strike on Iran, Polymarket recorded an unprecedented single-day nominal trading volume of $478 million, according to platform data. Bubblemaps previously reported $1.2 million in earnings from six wallets in connection with this event. Overall trading related to the strike exceeded ¥82.5 billion, reflecting strong market sensitivity to geopolitical developments.