Kalshi Traders See 73% Probability of Mojtaba Khamenei Succeeding Iran’s Supreme Leader

Prediction market data shows rising confidence that Mojtaba Khamenei will become Iran’s next Supreme Leader following his father, Ali Khamenei.

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Terms & Concepts
  • Kalshi: A U.S.-based prediction market platform where traders speculate on real-world events and outcomes.
  • Prediction Market: A marketplace for trading contracts tied to future events, with prices reflecting collective probabilities.
  • Supreme Leader (Iran): The highest authority in Iran’s political and religious hierarchy, overseeing all branches of government.