Polymarket Lists Iran Military Action End-Date Market With $12,000 Volume
According to Odaily Seer, the prediction market (event-based forecasting market) showed a 17% Yes probability that military action against Iran would end by March 31 after going live at 4 a.m.
Summary
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Terms & Concepts
Prediction market: A trading market where participants buy and sell outcomes tied to future events, with prices reflecting implied probabilities.
Implied probability: The likelihood suggested by market pricing; in this case, trades indicated a 17% chance of a Yes outcome.
Polymarket: A crypto-based prediction market platform where users trade contracts linked to real-world event outcomes.