
The Federal Reserve kept rates unchanged as officials assessed the Israel-Iran war’s potential inflation impact, while analysts said risks to Middle East energy flows could keep oil prices elevated.
The Federal Reserve kept the federal funds target range at 3.50%-3.75% for a second straight meeting and maintained expectations for one rate cut in 2026. The latest update adds that officials were assessing the Israel-Iran war’s potential impact on inflation, while analysts said Iranian attacks on Middle East energy facilities and a likely continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz could support oil prices. Existing topic information also says Chair Jerome Powell described rate hikes as not the base case, though not fully ruled out, and that policymakers see higher inflation expectations alongside stable unemployment.