
Waller said weaker payrolls had initially pointed him toward supporting a rate cut, but risks tied to the Strait of Hormuz, oil supply, and inflation prompted a more cautious stance.
The claim accurately reflects the documented shift in Governor Waller's policy stance. Multiple financial news sources (CNBC, Charles Schwab, WSJ) and the official FOMC statement from March 18, 2026, confirm that Waller moved from supporting rate cuts (due to weak payrolls) to supporting a hold (due to inflation risks from the Strait of Hormuz oil supply disruptions).
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said he had planned to support a rate cut after payrolls fell by 92,000, but changed to a more cautious position as the potential closure of the Strait of Hormuz, tighter oil supply, and persistent inflation risks raised concern. He also said U.S. labor force growth is now expected to be near zero, lowering the level of job growth needed to keep labor market conditions stable.