Polymarket accounts that wagered about $160,000 on a U.S.-Iran ceasefire by March 31 or April 15 remained under scrutiny after additional market data pointed to unusual activity ahead of Trump’s Iran-related statement. ICE data showed that at least 6 million barrels of Brent and WTI crude futures were sold in a two-minute span beginning at 6:49 a.m. ET on Monday, far above the average 700,000 barrels traded in the same window over the previous five sessions. Trump’s post was published around 7:05 a.m. ET. The new data adds detail to earlier concerns that unusual trading around the statement extended beyond Polymarket to broader financial markets.