A separate Polymarket account with an 88%+ win rate built a much larger roughly $549,000 "No" position on a U.S.-Iran ceasefire market, as trading activity increases amid continued geopolitical uncertainty.
A Polymarket account with a reported win rate above 88% bought about $55,000 in "No" shares on the market asking whether the U.S. and Iran will reach a ceasefire by March 31. The account’s total position in that event is about $549,000, entered at around 82 cents per share, equal to roughly 666,000 shares. The new activity differs from the previously noted newly created wallet that bought about $100,000 in "No" shares on a separate U.S.-Iran-related market. Trading volume in the ceasefire market is rising as tensions continue and expectations around a ceasefire remain uneven.